Stephen pagliuca politics 2016 polls

Nationwide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primaries

Poll source Sample size Margin of error Date(s) administered Jeb BushBen CarsonTed CruzJohn KasichMarco RubioDonald TrumpOthers[a]NBC News/SurveyMonkey[5] ± % May 2–8, 21% 13% 60%6% Ipsos/Reuters[6] ± % April 30 – May 4, 27% 17% 55%2% Morning Consult[7] ± % April 29 – May 2, 20% 13% 56%11% CNN/ORC[8] ± % April 28 – May 1, 25% 19% 49%4% NBC News/SurveyMonkey[9] ± % April 25 – May 1, 22% 14% 56%7% Morning Consult[10] ± % April 26–29, 27% 12% 48%13% IBD/TIPP[11] ± % April 22–29, 29% 16% 48%9% Ipsos/Reuters[12] ± 4% April 23–27, 28% 17% 49%5% YouGov/Economist[13] ± % April 22–26, 28% 19% 49%4% Suffolk University/USA Today[14] ± % April 20–24, 29% 17% 45%9% NBC News/SurveyMonkey[15] ± % April 18–24, 26% 17% 50%7% Ipsos/Reuters[16] ± % April 16–20, 31% 16% 49%4% Pew Research[17] ±&#;% April 12–19, 25% 20% 44%3% Morning Consult[18] ± % April 15–17, 26% 13% 46%15% NBC News/SurveyMonkey[19] ± % April 11–17, 28% 19% 46%7% NBC News/Wall Street Journal[20] ± % April 10–14, 35% 24% 40%1% Fox News[21] ± % April 11–13, 27% 25% 45%2% Ipsos/Reuters[22] ± % April 9–13, 32% 21% 44%4% CBS News[23] ± 6% April 8–12, 29% 18% 42%10% YouGov/Economist[24] ± % April 8–11, 25% 18% 53%4% NBC News/SurveyMonkey[25] ± % April 4–10, 30% 16% 46%8% Ipsos/Reuters[26] ± % April 2–6, 38% 19% 39%3% Morning Consult[27] ± % April 1–3, 27% 14% 45%14% Public Religion Research Institute/The Atlantic[28] ± % March 30 – April 3, 32% 21% 36%10% NBC News/SurveyMonkey[29] ± % March 28 – April 3, 28% 18% 45%9% IBD/TIPP[30] ± % March 28 – April 2, 31% 19% 38%11% McClatchy/Marist[31] ± % March 29–31, 35% 20% 40%4% Ipsos/Reuters[32] ± % March 27–31, 33% 19% 44%5% YouGov/Economist[33] ± % March 26–29, 29% 18% 48%5% NBC News/SurveyMonkey[34] ± % March 21–27, 27% 18% 48%7% Pew Research Center[35] ± % March 17–27, 32% 20% 41%1% Public Policy Polling[36] ± % March 24–26, 32% 22% 42%4% Morning Consult[37] ± % March 24–26, 28% 10% 49%13% Ipsos/Reuters[38] ± % March 19–23, 28% 20% 45%7% Mclaughin[39] ± % March 17–23, 28% 16% 45%10% Fox News[40] ± % March 20–22, 38% 17% 41%4% Bloomberg/Selzer[41] ± % March 19–22, 31% 25% 40%5% Morning Consult[42] ± % March 18–21, 26% 13% 45%16% Quinnipiac[43] ± % March 16–21, 29% 16% 43%12% Monmouth University[44] ± % March 17–20, 29% 18% 41%6% CNN/ORC[45] ± % March 17–20, 31% 17% 47%4% CBS News/New York Times[46] ± % March 17–20, 26% 20% 46%4% Morning Consult[47] ± % March 16–18, 27% 14% 43%17% Rasmussen[48] ± % March 16–17, 28% 21% 43%8% NBC News/SurveyMonkey[49] ± % March 14–20, 24% 16% 6% 45%8% Ipsos/Reuters[50] ± % March 12–16, 24% 9% 13% 46%7% Morning Consult[51] ± % March 11–13, 23% 9% 12% 42%14% NBC News/SurveyMonkey[52] ± % March 7–13, 24% 12% 11% 44%8% YouGov/Economist[53] ± % March 10–12, 22% 11% 10% 53%4% Ipsos/Reuters[54] ± % March 5–9, 24% 13% 13% 41%5% Morning Consult[55] ± % March 4–6, 23% 10% 14% 40%13% NBC News/Wall Street Journal[56] ± % March 3–6, 27% 22% 20% 30%1% ABC News/Washington Post[57] ± % March 3–6, 25% 13% 18% 34%9% Super TuesdayNBC News/SurveyMonkey[58]6, ± % February 29 – March 6, 8% 20% 9% 18% 39%6% Ipsos/Reuters[59] ± % February 27 – March 2, 10% 16% 10% 20% 41%4% NBC News/SurveyMonkey[60]8, ± % February 22–28, 8% 18% 7% 21% 40%6% Morning Consult[61] ± 2% February 26–27, 9% 15% 5% 14% 44%12% CNN/ORC[62] ± 5% February 24–27, 10% 15% 6% 16% 49%4% YouGov/Economist[63] ±&#;?% February 24–27, 7% 21% 8% 17% 44%3% SurveyMonkey[64]1, ± % February 24–25, 8% 19% 8% 21% 39%6% Morning Consult[65] ± % February 24–25, 9% 14% 5% 19% 42%11% IBD/TIPP Poll[66] ± 5% February 19–24, 8% 20% 7% 18% 31%Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research[67] ± 4% February 21–22, 8% 17% 12% 21% 36%South Carolina primaryIpsos/Reuters[68] ± % February 20–24, 3% 8% 22% 8% 13% 42%4% NBC News/SurveyMonkey[69] ± % February 15–21, 4% 8% 19% 8% 16% 36%8% Fox News[70] ± % February 15–17, 9% 9% 19% 8% 15% 36%4% Ipsos/Reuters[71] ± % February 13–17, 9% 10% 17% 9% 11% 40%5%[b]Morning Consult[72] ±?% February 15–16, 7% 11% 12% 3% 14% 41%12% NBC News/Wall Street Journal[73] ± % February 14–16, 4% 10% 28%11% 17% 26% 4% CBS News/New York Times[74] ± % February 12–16, 4% 6% 18% 11% 12% 35%6% Robert Morris[75] ± % February 11–16, % % % % % %% YouGov/Economist[76] ±&#;?% February 11–15, 6% 7% 19% 11% 16% 39%2% USA Today/Suffolk University[77] ± % February 11–15, 6% 4% 20% 7% 17% 35%12% Quinnipiac[78] ± 4% February 10–15, 4% 4% 18% 6% 19% 39%10% Morning Consult[79] ± % February 10–11, 8% 10% 17% 4% 10% 44%6% New Hampshire primaryNBC News/SurveyMonkey[80] ± % February 8–14, 4% 8% 18% 7% 14% 38%10%[c]Ipsos/Reuters[81] ± % February 6–10, 7% 11% 23% 2% 14% 35%9%[d]Morning Consult[82] ± 1% February 3–7, 6% 9% 17% 2% 15% 38%14%[e]Rasmussen[83] ± 4% February 3–4, 4% 5% 20% 6% 21% 31%12%[f]Quinnipiac University[84] ± % February 2–4, 3% 6% 22% 3% 19% 31%16%[g]Public Policy Polling[85] ± % February 2–3, 5% 11% 21% 5% 21% 25%14%[h]Morning Consult[86] ± % February 2–3, 5% 9% 14% 2% 12% 38%13%[i]NBC News/SurveyMonkey[87] ± % February 1–7, 3% 7% 20% 3% 17% 35%13%[j]February 1: Iowa caucusesIpsos/Reuters[88] ± % January 30–February 3, 7% 8% 16% 3% 14% 36%15%[k]Morning Consult[89] ± % January 29–February 1, 7% 9% 12% 2% 8% 41%21%[l]NBC News/SurveyMonkey[90] ± % January 25–31, 3% 7% 20% 3% 12% 39%17%[m]YouGov/Economist[91] ± % January 27–30, 4% 4% 18% 5% 14% 43%12%[n]IBD/TIPP[92] ± % January 22–27, 5% 9% 21% 2% 10% 31%23%[o]Bloomberg/Purple Strategies[93] ± % January 22–26, 7% 9% 12% 4% 14% 34%21%[p]Morning Consult[94] ± % January 21–24, 7% 10% 11% 2% 9% 40%17%[q]CNN/ORC[95] ± % January 21–24, 5% 6% 19% 1% 8% 41%12%[r]ABC News/Washington Post[96] ± % January 21–24, 5% 7% 21% 2% 11% 37%17%[s]Public Religion Research Institute[97] ± % January 20–24, 5% 14% 14% 3% 9% 31%24%[t]NBC News/SurveyMonkey[98] ± % January 18–24, 4% 8% 17% 3% 10% 39%19%[u]Fox News[99] ± % January 18–21, 4% 8% 20% 4% 11% 34%17%[v]Zogby[] ± % January 19–20, 6% 4% 13% 3% 8% 45%21%[w]Ipsos/Reuters[] ± % January 16–20, 10% 11% 12% 2% 8% 36%20%[x]YouGov/Economist[] ± % January 15–19, 3% 7% 19% 2% 14% 38%16%[y]Monmouth University[] ± % January 15–18, 5% 8% 17% 3% 11% 36%20%[z]Morning Consult[] ± % January 14–17, 7% 8% 13% 2% 9% 39%23%[aa]NBC/SurveyMonkey[] ± % January 11–17, 4% 8% 21% 2% 11% 38%17%[ab]NBC News/Wall Street Journal[] ± % January 9–13, 5% 12% 20% 3% 13% 33%14%[ac]Ipsos/Reuters[] ± % January 9–13, 10% 11% 14% 2% 6% 38%19%[ad]YouGov/Economist[] ± % January 9–11, 5% 6% 20% 3% 11% 36%20%[ae]Morning Consult[] ± % January 8–10, 5% 12% 10% 2% 9% 42%20%[af]CBS News/New York Times[] N/A January 7–10, 6% 6% 19% 2% 12% 36%18%[ag]NBC/SurveyMonkey[] ± % January 4–10, 3% 9% 20% 2% 11% 38%15%[ah]IBD/TIPP[] ± 4% January 4–8, 4% 8% 18% 2% 9% 34%21%[ai]Fox News[] ± % January 4–7, 4% 10% 20% 2% 13% 35%16%[aj]Ipsos/Reuters[] ± % January 2–6, 8% 11% 14% 1% 8% 42%16%[ak]YouGov/Economist[] ± 4% December 31, – January 6, 4% 6% 19% 4% 13% 36%17%[al]NBC/SurveyMonkey[] ± % December 26, – January 3, 6% 9% 18% 2% 13% 35%19%[am]